Fuck

Nov. 3rd, 2020 09:42 pm
plutherus: (Default)
[personal profile] plutherus
I just did a spreadsheet with the remaining undecided races. It doesn't look good. The only path to a Biden victory looks like flipping Texas blue, and Biden is now down by 6% in Texas. It was neck and neck earlier.
The "Red mirage" doesn't look like it's a thing, either. So far, it looks like all the red states become more red as more precincts report.

Looks like the republicans are picking up seats in both the House and the Senate as well. McConnell stays in power, and gets more. The House goes Republican.

It's fucking 2016 all over again.

And, I should point out, everything I predicted then happened, only it was even worse than I expected.
Yes, there's a lot of voter suppression, and there's tons of Russian and Saudi and probably Chinese money pouring in through SuperPacs and through huge social media propaganda efforts. But even with all that, it's American voters who own this, and the fact that it's even close, after everything this monster has done, all the lives he's ruined, even before he let a pandemic kill off a quarter million of us, is depressing as hell.

And don't even come at me with "It's just politics". All that means is that you won't be greatly affected one way or another, and you don't give a shit about the people who will be, so fuck you. He's already ruined lives. He's destroyed families. He's disappeared good people. He's sent refugees back to be tortured and killed, and just because you don't personally know any of the people who've suffered doesn't mean they aren't important so fuck you with your "it's just politics" attitude.

Not to mention a quarter million dead, and counting, and soon to be rapidly increasing.

And all trump's blatant corruption, and with McConnell still around to have his back with a willing senate, and possibly the house, there's nothing to stop them continuing their looting of our country, of selling migrant children to sex traffickers (while a bunch of people play alternate reality q-anon games of trump being some kind of undercover anti-government freedom fighter), his proud boys and other white supremacists continuing to be encouraged and going unchecked. And let's not forget the millions who are about to lose their insurance, and the tens of thousands who are going to now suffer and die from treatable conditions because they aren't going to be able to afford treatment. Congratulations on not being among them and convincing yourself that they don't matter. Fuck it. It's too much.

This sucks.

This sucks a lot.

And a bunch of you are gonna read this and laugh and crow about winning because you're too goddamn stupid to realize that you didn't win. Trump won. McConnell won. Putin won. The oligarchs won. You're not one of them and you never will be and you're too goddamn stupid to realize it. Or, maybe you're not stupid. Maybe, like trump and Miller, you're just racist and cruel, and that's not any better.

Date: 2020-11-04 06:51 am (UTC)
duskpeterson: The lowercased letters D and P, joined together (Default)
From: [personal profile] duskpeterson
Keep up your spirits. A commentator at FiveThirtyEight says, "Biden basically has three 'easy' paths to victory remaining. In rough order of likelihood: 1) Win Arizona and NE-02, hold Michigan and Wisconsin; 2) Win Pennsylvania, hold Michigan and Wisconsin; 3) Win Georgia, hold Michigan and Wisconsin."

As for the red mirage, doesn't that refer to the mail-in ballots that have largely not yet been counted? Michigan and Wisconsin won't report their counts till later this morning, while Pennsylvania isn't expecting to give its results before Friday.

There's a reason why President Trump is trying to declare victory now, rather than wait for the full results. He's afraid of what they will say.

Date: 2020-11-04 07:01 am (UTC)
duskpeterson: The lowercased letters D and P, joined together (Default)
From: [personal profile] duskpeterson
PS: FiveThirtyEight talks about what Texas means to the candidates' chances.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xIBSsowrAhc

Date: 2020-11-06 10:25 pm (UTC)
duskpeterson: The lowercased letters D and P, joined together (Default)
From: [personal profile] duskpeterson

It's terrifying. I've been reading interviews with ordinary people voting for President Trump, trying to understand.

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